Renewable Nowcasting/Forecasting
Every nowcast or forecast error becomes a position, settled at a price you don't set.
Renewable output moves with the weather. Every megawatt-hour a portfolio schedules and then fails to deliver is settled at the imbalance price.
We forecast renewable generation and its uncertainty from minutes to days ahead, for a single site or an entire portfolio. You get a probability distribution, not a point estimate, and it narrows as delivery approaches.
Our models combine AI with satellite imagery, numerical weather prediction, terrain data and real-time plant readings. Each intraday update is a chance to trade out of a position while the market is still open.